Priyanka Tiwari
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Suspense crime, Digital Desk : The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts that the southwest monsoon will set in over Kerala by the 27th of May, which is earlier than the expected June 1 date. This would be the earliest arrival of the monsoon since 2009, when it swept in on the 23rd of May.
Kerala’s monsoon ‘onset’ is viewed as the formal commencement of the rainy season for the Indian subcontinent, heralding the period when rains begin to gradually move across the nation. The monsoon usually encompasses the whole of India by July 8 and starts retreating between September 17 and October 15.
India's Recent Monsoon Arrival Dates
Here are the dates of monsoon onset in Kerala for the preceding years:
2024: May 30
2023: June 8
2022: May 29
2021: June 3
2020: June 1
2019: June 8
2018: May 29
IMD officials have noted that the early or delayed onset over Kerala doesn't have a direct impact on the total monsoon rainfall in the country. The distribution on rainfall is dependent on the global, regional, and local weather systems and their climate.
An IMD spokesperson said, “Monsoon onset timings doesn’t dictate the volume of rainfall received by India. This statement doesn't give it justice.”
Additional Rainfall Forecasted For 2025 Untapped.
The rainfall predicted for this season does represent a shift from the normal pattern, occurring on the 3rd tier of above normal in predominant forecasts. Still, above normal conditions are expected in 2025, with more rainfall than projected. Officials have estimated this could reach 105% receiving an excess of 87cm.
“Monsoon is expected to be abundant,” said Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences M. Ravichandran. This prediction is supported by the fact that El Niño conditions are absent this year.
IMD Defined Rainfall Categories
Normal: 96% to 104% of long-term average.
Below Normal: 90% to 95%
Above Normal: 105% to 110%
Excessive: Greater than 110% forecasted.
Deficient: Less than 90% forecasted.
Of Economic Significance
The southwest monsoon is highly important to India’s economy in a multitude of ways:
Replenishes water reservoirs for drinking, irrigation, and power generation.
Supports 42.3% of the population whose livelihood depends on farming.
18.2% of the national GDP comes directly from agriculture.
Read More: Vaishno Devi Yatra Gets New Timing Rules: Start Within 12 And Return Within 24 Hours
