Suspense crime, Digital Desk : The global economy is oozing fear of contracting growth and increasing costs owing to the ripple effect caused by the aggressive trade policies of President Donald Trump during his term. This tumultuous environment, however, presented an advantage in the eyes of some european philosophers and politicians by providing the eurozone with a chance to bolster its international presence exponentially.
The latest round of tariffs targeting China and the EU in provocation of “Liberation Day” has resulted in the EU aiming to rebrand itself as a more favorable global player.
The Economic Burden
Europe has dealt with its fair share of economic issues including pandemic induced recovery struggles, Germany's energy crisis stemming from the Ukraine war and the euro zone. These factors coupled with the slowing rate of growth in the US economy have caused the euro to rise in value by almost 10% compared to the US dollar. This is expected in 2025.
Moreover, European bonds are increasingly perceived as lucrative options striking a .US Treasury. Economist Davide Oneglia of TS Lombard claimed that this change in currency is creating a renewed boost for the euro in global markets.
The Realignment of Global Trade Puts the EU in a Better Position.
As the trade war between the US and China reached unprecedented levels, with tariffs surging above 100% for specific items, new opportunities emerged for European corporations. The need for alternatives to Chinese manufacturers within the US market may boost demand for Europe’s industrial sectors such as chemicals, machinery, and transport equipment.
Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, is focused on an agenda of competitiveness that is pick in favor of Europe as countries look for more stable trade allies. The Eurozone is attractive during this time of uncertainty worldwide. Von der Leyen’s quote “Countries are lining up to work with us” proves why there is an appeal regarding Europe.
The Potential Growth of Euro
Folkerts-Landau, from Deutsche Bank, believes that the trade war with China may have lasting implications on the dominance of the US dollar. The currencies regarded as secure have been under played is the dollar, something that is trusted less and less. Since 1971, Folkerts-Landau considers this shift in economic politics the most disruptive change of trade.
Even though the euro might not fully replace the dollar, its value as a legal and stable currency could enhance its use internationally. Bruegel’s Nicolas Véron stressed, “If trust in the dollar collapses, where do people go? The euro is front and centre.”
Reform is Needed to Take the Euro Capitalize on the Moment
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has highlighted pending financial reforms for EU leaders, calling for action in order to better position the bloc to capture capital from around the world. Further integration of financial markets could also lower the cost of borrowing for European firms and increase the geopolitical power of the EU.
Even so, there are still obstacles to address:
Tariffs may still be detrimental to EU exports, especially for Germany’s economy.
Exports may lose some level of competitiveness due to a stronger euro.
U.E. diplomacy and trade plans may be complicated by having to balance pressures from the US and China.
A New Direction
With the America’s facing economic strain and an impending trade war, Europe is strengthening its position as a global leader. The once considered vulnerable eurozone has an opportunity to redefine its future.
As one analyst pointed out, sometimes the greatest rewards come when there is stiff competition — this may be a turning point for the EU in the global economy.
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