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Suspense crime, Digital Desk : WASHINGTON/JERUSALEM – The world is beginning to understand how the stunning and fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran was achieved, with new details revealing an audacious, high-risk strategy orchestrated by former U.S. President Donald Trump that combined intense, secret diplomacy with a shocking military gambit.

While backchannel negotiations had been underway for months, sources familiar with the deal now claim that a secret, limited airstrike—personally authorized by Trump—served as the dramatic catalyst that forced both sides to the table and averted a full-scale war.

The "Stick": A Surprise Airstrike

According to intelligence sources, the turning point came last week with a highly precise, deniable airstrike. The strike did not target personnel but reportedly destroyed a high-value, non-nuclear asset linked to Iran's advanced missile program located in a third country.

The operation was designed not to provoke an all-out war but to deliver an unmistakable message to Tehran: there were new red lines, and the capacity existed to strike with devastating accuracy at will. This "stick" demonstrated the severe cost of continued escalation and created a moment of terrifying clarity, pushing Iran's leadership to seriously consider the diplomatic "carrot" being offered.

The "Carrot": Intense Backchannel Diplomacy

For months, intermediaries in Oman and other neutral nations facilitated secret talks between representatives of Trump's camp and officials from both Israel and Iran. These negotiations laid the groundwork for a de-escalation framework.

Following the shock of the airstrike, this diplomatic channel went into overdrive. Trump's team reportedly used the event as leverage, presenting Iran with a stark choice: face further, more damaging strikes or accept an "off-ramp" in the form of a comprehensive ceasefire. Faced with this new reality, both sides ultimately agreed to halt direct hostilities.

A Fragile Peace and Lingering Questions

The ceasefire remains incredibly fragile. It does not address the core, long-standing conflicts between the two nations, such as Iran's nuclear program or its network of regional proxies. Analysts warn that without addressing these root causes, the truce is likely temporary.

The revelation of Trump's role in authorizing a military strike while out of office has also sent shockwaves through Washington, raising profound legal and constitutional questions. The current administration has expressed "grave concern" and is reportedly investigating the matter.

For now, an uneasy quiet has fallen over the Middle East. But it was achieved through a dangerous and unprecedented strategy, leaving the world to wonder how long such a volatile peace can possibly last.


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