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The Nifty 50 benchmark index may experience further selling pressure if it breaks below the crucial 22,000-22,300 support range, a level that has historically provided stability. Technical analysts suggest that if this support is breached, the market could see deeper corrections.

Key Support and Resistance Levels for Nifty 50

Shrikant Chouhan, Head of Equity Research at Kotak Securities, stated:

  • If Nifty 50 falls below 22,300 and Sensex below 73,300, selling could intensify.
  • Further downside may see Nifty 50 testing 22,100-22,000 and Sensex retesting 72,700-72,400 levels.
  • The market remains non-directional, finding support at 22,300 while experiencing selling pressure near 22,600-22,650.

Critical Technical Levels to Watch

  • 22,000 as Key Support: Domestic brokerage firm Prabhudas Lilladher emphasizes that 22,000 must hold to prevent deeper declines.
  • 23,000 for Bullish Confidence: A breakout above 23,000 is required to confirm an upward trend.
  • Shooting Star Resistance at 22,677: The March 10 high of 22,677 remains a strong resistance level.
  • Demand at 22,330: The March 12 session formed a long lower shadow, indicating potential buying interest.

Market Pattern and Recent Trends

  • Bearish Signals: The index has been range-bound within 250-300 points, forming a bearish candle and inside bar on the daily chart, suggesting selling pressure at higher levels.
  • Breakout Needed: Akshay Chinchalkar, Head of Research at Axis Securities, believes that a breakout from the 22,245 - 22,677 range is necessary to trigger the next significant market move.

Global Factors Influencing Market Sentiment

Several external factors could impact Indian equities, including:

  • China’s Economic Measures: Investors are closely monitoring China’s efforts to boost consumer spending and stabilize markets.
  • Geopolitical Tensions: Developments around Ukraine and Russia ceasefire talks could add to market volatility.
  • US Federal Reserve Decision: The Fed’s interest rate announcement on Wednesday is expected to keep rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%, influencing global risk sentiment.


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