Priyanka Tiwari
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Suspense crime, Digital Desk : On June 9, 2024, Prime Minister Narendra Modi was sworn in for the third time, marking his third consecutive term. Even with the BJP securing 303 seats in the Lok Sabha, Congress leader Rahul Gandhi looked optimistic. He accused the opposition of succumbing to the dominance of Modi and inferred his government would not last.
This came from the BJP’s dependence on crucial allies like TDP leader N. Chandrababu Naidu and JD(U) chief Nitish Kumar, who have previously switched allegiance. Critics, along with others, pointed out the party's underperformance in acquiring states like Uttar Pradesh and Maharashta, bringing forth skepticism on the party’s future equipoise.
A Year Later: Coalition Support Strenghtens Modi’s Position
A year into Modi's third term which translates to his 11th year in office, reoording allonathing eyes looking for a different narrative. The Prime Minister's leadership looks secured given coalition partners TDP and JD(U) maintained support they previously pledged, instead of giving the expected turbulence. Both leaders have openly showered praise on Modi's leadership without caring for the Mohabbat Kabar.
In reaction to national polling discontent, BJP recalibrated their tactics gaining major victories in multiple state elections. The opposition, on the other hand, lost steam with the Congress and other INDIA bloc members failing to keep the public engaged, along with dissolving any sense of internal cohesion.
BJP’s The State Victories Strengthen Stance After Lok Sabha Defeats
BJP also took over Delhi after 26 years from Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party using his own political tactics.
The party is now on the verge of initiating another political drive, but the opposition continues to be fractured. Congress appears to be on the hunt for a definitive consolidation through state elections. Other regional allies like the TMC-Turned-AAP have detached from the Congress. Shiv Sena (UBT) and NCP (SP) seem to have ambiguous future prospects.
Despite Gaps In The Opposition, Modi’s Image Still Dominates
Political analyst and tracer from the United Delhi University, Manoj Kumar, highlighted the state of leadership under Modi, emphasizing that there hasn’t been a serious contender who has been able to truly challenge him. Modi’s image, as someone who takes action in the interest of the nation continued to get a boost with the new military initiative named Sindoor.
Kumar also accepts that the BJP might face some head winds in 2024 due to things like the caste census, or fears regarding the constitution but changing the decision and declaring it will be done for sure helps the government remain ahead of the game politically.
Welfare Model and National Leadership Keep BJP Ahead
While addressing the issues of caste in society, the BJP refrained from using caste-based politics as a primary focus. The “Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas” mantra continues to safeguard public sentiment. Modi's popularity is viewed through the lens of historical stalwarts like Nehru, Indira Gandhi, and Vajpayee.
With a smaller number of seats, the BJP troubleslessly advanced supportive Parliamentary legislative initiatives. With the consent of allies TDP, JD(U), and LJP(RV), the Waqf (Amendment) Bill was also passed in Parliament, despite some reservations.
Legislative Ambitions and Assembly Poll Targets Define Year Ahead
Modi's government has actively promoted the “One Nation One Election” strategy. Even without a two-thirds majority, the bill is currently under consideration in Parliament.
With a resurgence of political vitality, the BJP is looking to target opposition state controlled Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, and Kerala as well as NDA aligned Assam and Bihar.
In the next 12 months, the BJP will sharply improve its position leading up to the 2029 general elections and will be able to determine if they are able to recover from their previously declining state.
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