Rajya Sabha elections: NDA may lose seven-eight seats
New Delhi : Voting for 57 seats of Rajya Sabha is to be held on June 10. Along with this, due to the resignation of the MPs, by-elections are to be held on 30 May for one seat in Telangana and one Rajya Sabha seat in Odisha on June 13. In this way, if seen in total, 59 seats of Rajya Sabha in 15 states are to be voted in the coming days.
Out of these 59 seats, BJP currently has 25 seats, while talking about its allies, last time JDU got 2 seats and AIADMK had 3 seats. If one independent MP is added, currently 31 out of these 59 seats are with the NDA. Saving these 31 seats in this election is a big challenge for the NDA because the maths of the assemblies is telling that this time the NDA may have to suffer a loss of 7 to 9 seats.
On the other hand, talking about the UPA, its total number reaches 13, including 8 MPs of Congress, 3 of DMK, one each from Shiv Sena and NCP. In this time’s Rajya Sabha elections, the UPA seems to be gaining 2 to 4 seats.
Talking about other parties, in these 59 seats, at present, SP has 3, BJD has 4, BSP has 2 and TRS has 3 MPs while YSR Congress, Akali Dal and RJD have 1 MP each. Huh. In this way, at present the figure of other parties is reaching 15. In the Rajya Sabha elections to be held this time, other parties are expected to get the benefit of 3 seats.
If we look at the possibilities of state-wise electoral victory, this time elections are going to be held on 11 seats in Uttar Pradesh. Congress and BSP will have to bear the brunt of the poor performance in the recently held assembly elections in this time’s Rajya Sabha elections. BSP currently had 2 and Congress had 1 seat, but this time 2 of these three seats can go to BJP. In this way, with the advantage of 2 seats, BJP can send its 7 candidates to the Rajya Sabha this time. At the same time, there is a possibility of getting 3 seats in the account of SP as before. For the remaining 11th seat, there is a tussle between BJP and SP, but looking at the aggressive style and better strategy of the BJP, it can be said that this 8th seat can also go to its account.
6 members of Rajya Sabha are to be elected from Maharashtra. Of these, 3 seats are with the BJP, while the Shiv Sena-NCP and Congress, which are running the government together in Maharashtra, have 1 seat each. On the basis of numbers, this time in Maharashtra, BJP may lose one seat. BJP candidates can win 2 seats. If all three Shiv Sena-NCP and Congress fought the elections in mutual coordination, then by taking some independent MLAs, they can win 4 seats and stay in the advantage of one seat.
In Tamil Nadu, out of the 6 Rajya Sabha seats for which elections are to be held, both the DMK and AIADMK parties are currently occupying 3-3 seats. But this time the ruling party of the state DMK can get the advantage of 1 seat. On the basis of the number of members in the assembly, DMK’s 4 candidates can win the election, while AIADMK is in a position to send only 2 MPs to the Rajya Sabha this time with the loss of one seat.
On the basis of numbers, NDA is going to lose one seat in Bihar. BJP can send its 2 candidates to Rajya Sabha as comfortably as before, but its ally JDU is in a position to win only one candidate this time due to less MLAs. RJD can win 2 seats this time with the advantage of one seat.
The biggest loss to the BJP is going to be in Andhra Pradesh this time. Out of the 4 seats where elections are going to be held in Andhra Pradesh, three are in the account of the BJP, but on the basis of the number of members of the assembly, this time YSR Congress candidates can win these four seats.
Based on the number of members in the Karnataka Legislative Assembly, this time also the BJP can send its 2 candidates to the Rajya Sabha like last time. On the other hand, only 1 candidate of Congress can win the election comfortably. BJP, Congress and JD(S), none have enough MLAs for the fourth seat. Therefore, in whose account this fourth seat will go, we will have to wait till the end.
This time in Rajasthan, the 4 seats for which elections are to be held for the Rajya Sabha. All four of them are currently occupied by the BJP, but this time in view of the preparation of Ashok Gehlot, the BJP may have to suffer a loss of 3 seats. On the basis of the number of MLAs, BJP is sure to win 1 and Congress 2 candidates, but on the strength of independent MLAs, Congress can also win the third seat in Rajasthan.
In Madhya Pradesh, there is going to be a no profit no loss situation for both BJP and Congress in the Rajya Sabha elections, that is, like last time, this time also BJP 2 and Congress can easily send their 1 candidate to Rajya Sabha.
In Odisha, the three Rajya Sabha seats for which voting is to be held on June 10 are currently with the Biju Janata Dal, the ruling party of the state, and BJD’s victory in all three seats is sure on the basis of the strength of the assembly.
Let us tell you that the by-election is to be held on June 13 on the seat that fell vacant due to the resignation of BJD MP Subhash Chandra Singh. On this too BJD is sure to win. The term of BJD MP Subhash Chandra Singh was to end on April 2, 2026, but he resigned earlier due to being elected as the mayor of Cuttack.
In Telangana, the two seats in the Rajya Sabha, where elections are to be held on June 10, are currently occupied by the state’s ruling party TRS, and on the basis of numbers, the victory of TRS in both the seats is certain.
Apart from these two seats, by-elections are to be held on the third seat of Rajya Sabha from Telangana. According to the program announced by the Election Commission on May 5, a by-election will be held on May 30 on the Rajya Sabha seat that fell vacant due to the resignation of Dr. Banda Prakash. After being nominated to the Legislative Council, Dr. Banda Prakash had resigned from the membership of the Rajya Sabha. This seat was in the account of TRS earlier also and this time too TRS is sure to win on it.
The term of 1-1 candidate of both the BJP and Congress political parties from Chhattisgarh is going to end. On the basis of the number of members in the assembly, the victory of Congress candidates in both the seats is certain.
In Punjab, the term of 1-1 candidate of Congress and Shiromani Akali Dal is going to end. Voting for both these seats is to be held on June 10 and on the basis of a thumping majority in the assembly, the victory of the Aam Aadmi Party is sure in both the seats.
The Rajya Sabha election results in Jharkhand have always been shocking. This time too, a tussle has started in the JMM and Congress alliance over the candidate of the first preference. Elections are to be held on 2 seats in the state. Both these seats are currently with the BJP, but this time to win even one seat, the BJP candidate may have to resort to jugaad. In the current situation, it seems that both the ruling alliance and the BJP can win 1 seat each.
The tenure of Subhash Chandra, BJP’s 1 Rajya Sabha MP in Haryana and who won the independent election with the support of BJP by making a big reshuffle last time, is going to end. If there is no big political game, then on the basis of the maths of the assembly, both BJP and Congress are sure to get 1-1 seat in their account.
In Uttarakhand, a seat is to be held in the Rajya Sabha, which is currently occupied by the Congress, but on the basis of the mathematics of the assembly, this time the victory of the BJP in this seat is certain.
In the last few years, under a mission, the BJP is constantly engaged in increasing its strength in the Rajya Sabha. In many states, he won in astonishing way while doing political math, so this time also BJP strategists will try to win maximum number of seats in all these states till the last minute because its direct effect will be after few months. President and Vice President elections will also be affected.