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In the next five years, 2023-27, global temperatures are expected to rise to record highs. This has been said in a new report released on Wednesday by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). As per the report, there is a 98% chance that at least one year in the next 5 years will break the temperature record set in 2016. Temperatures will increase over the next 5 years due to heat-trapping greenhouse gases and natural El Nino weather conditions.
‘Warm El Nino likely to develop’
“A warmer El Niño is likely to develop in the coming months, which, combined with human-induced climate change, will push global temperatures into uncharted territory,” the report said. Global temperatures typically rise a year after an El Niño develops. That is, in 2024 such a situation will arise.
WMO Secretary-General Professor Petri Talas said there would be far-reaching impacts on health, food security, water management and the environment. We need to be ready. In its State of the Climate update presented in Geneva, the WMO said there is a 66 percent chance that annual mean near-surface global temperatures will remain 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels for at least one year between 2023 and 2027. Celsius will be higher.
Talas said the report does not mean we will permanently exceed the 1.5°C level specified in the Paris Agreement, which refers to long-term warming over many years. However, the WMO is warning that we will temporarily exceed the 1.5°C threshold with increasing frequency.
What is Paris Agreement?
Under the Paris Agreement, long-term goals have been set to guide all countries to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions sufficiently to limit global temperature rise to 2 °C this century. At the same time, efforts can be intensified to limit future increase to 1.5°C, so as to avoid its adverse effects and associated damages.
